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Kalshi Prediction Market Regulatory Showdown & Crypto Credibility: States Win; Prediction Markets Effectively Banned or Heavily Restricted
·监管
场景-0.15 中性$71,872
Kalshi Prediction Market Regulatory Showdown & Crypto Credibility: CFTC Wins; Kalshi Deemed Legitimate Financial Tool
·监管
场景+0.46 看涨$71,902
Bhutan Sovereign Wealth Liquidation & Precedent for State Bitcoin Selling: Bhutan Liquidation Accelerates Amid Broader Asset Flight
·加密结构
场景+0.12 中性$71,922
Bhutan Sovereign Wealth Liquidation & Precedent for State Bitcoin Selling: Bhutan Liquidation Slows; Narrative Shifts to Hold
·加密结构
场景+0.24 看涨$71,899
Bhutan Sovereign Wealth Liquidation & Precedent for State Bitcoin Selling: Bhutan Completes Liquidation; Other Nations Follow Suit
·加密结构
场景+0.06 中性$71,678
US-Iran Ceasefire Stability & Hormuz Reopening: Stalemate: Ceasefire Extended Repeatedly Without Resolution
·地缘政治
场景+0.25 看涨$71,819
US-Iran Ceasefire Stability & Hormuz Reopening: Ceasefire Collapses; Limited Escalation Resumes
·地缘政治
场景+0.12 中性$71,807
US-Iran Ceasefire Stability & Hormuz Reopening: Ceasefire Holds & Hormuz Fully Reopens
·地缘政治
场景+0.35 看涨$71,771
Daily BTC Outlook — April 9, 2026
·每日BTC
每日展望+0.58 看涨$70,980
Institutional Crypto Custody Consolidation: Standard Chartered-Zodia Acquisition: Acquisition Fails; Regulatory Concerns Kill Deal
·加密结构
场景+0.12 中性$70,764
Institutional Crypto Custody Consolidation: Standard Chartered-Zodia Acquisition: Acquisition Announced But Stalls on Regulatory Hurdles
·加密结构
场景+0.31 看涨$70,807
Institutional Crypto Custody Consolidation: Standard Chartered-Zodia Acquisition: Acquisition Completes; Legitimacy & Scale Event
·加密结构
场景+0.52 看涨$70,604
Leveraged Long Liquidation Risk & Market Structure Fragility: Leveraged Longs Unwind Gradually; Gentle Rebalancing
·市场事件
场景+0.15 中性$70,612
Leveraged Long Liquidation Risk & Market Structure Fragility: Black Swan Event Triggers Cascade Liquidation (Ceasefire Breaks)
·市场事件
场景+0.12 中性$70,851
Leveraged Long Liquidation Risk & Market Structure Fragility: Geopolitical Risk Unwind Triggers Systematic Deleveraging
·市场事件
场景-0.20 看跌$70,846
SEC Regulatory Pivot: 'Fraud-Only' Crypto Enforcement Framework: Regulatory Reversal: New Admin Official Reverses SEC Pivot
·监管
场景+0.44 看涨$70,780
SEC Regulatory Pivot: 'Fraud-Only' Crypto Enforcement Framework: Regulatory Ambiguity Persists; Mixed Signals Create Uncertainty
·监管
场景+0.28 看涨$70,824
SEC Regulatory Pivot: 'Fraud-Only' Crypto Enforcement Framework: Full Regulatory Clarity: Commodity/Securities Framework Crystallizes
·监管
场景+0.52 看涨$70,989
Iran-US Ceasefire Stability & Crypto Payments Precedent: Ceasefire Holds But Crypto Toll System Fails Operationally
·地缘政治
场景+0.25 看涨$71,026
Iran-US Ceasefire Stability & Crypto Payments Precedent: Ceasefire Collapses Within Days; Hormuz Shipping Crisis Resurfaces
·地缘政治
场景-0.15 中性$71,024
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