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US-Iran Geopolitical De-escalation & Oil Market Shock: Ceasefire Collapses / Renewed Escalation
·Geopolitical
Scenario-0.02 Neutral$73,611
US-Iran Geopolitical De-escalation & Oil Market Shock: Blockade Remains / Ceasefire Fragile, Oil Stays Elevated
·Geopolitical
Scenario+0.15 Neutral$73,571
US-Iran Geopolitical De-escalation & Oil Market Shock: Blockade Lifted / Permanent Peace Deal Emerges
·Geopolitical
Scenario+0.28 Bullish$73,523
Daily BTC Outlook — May 29, 2026
·Daily BTC
Daily Outlook-0.12 Neutral$73,703
US-Iran Ceasefire Extension & Middle East De-escalation: Stalemate: Ceasefire Extends But Remains Fragile & Uncertain
·Geopolitical
Scenario+0.31 Bullish$73,501
US-Iran Ceasefire Extension & Middle East De-escalation: De-escalation: Ceasefire Extended, Permanent Deal Emerges
·Geopolitical
Scenario+0.49 Bullish$73,499
US-Iran Ceasefire Extension & Middle East De-escalation: Escalation: Ceasefire Collapses, Regional War Widens
·Geopolitical
Scenario-0.12 Neutral$73,492
Daily BTC Outlook — May 28, 2026
·Daily BTC
Daily Outlook-0.20 Bearish$73,141
US-Iran Geopolitical Tension & Strait of Hormuz Blockade: Stalemate: Prolonged Uncertainty & Policy Whiplash
·Geopolitical
Scenario-0.18 Neutral$74,181
US-Iran Geopolitical Tension & Strait of Hormuz Blockade: De-escalation: Negotiated Settlement & Hormuz Reopening
·Geopolitical
Scenario+0.51 Bullish$74,199
US-Iran Geopolitical Tension & Strait of Hormuz Blockade: Escalation: Military Confrontation & Extended Blockade
·Geopolitical
Scenario-0.15 Neutral$74,228
Daily BTC Outlook — May 27, 2026
·Daily BTC
Daily Outlook-0.20 Bearish$75,938
US-Iran Peace Deal Momentum & Ceasefire Stability: Escalation: Ceasefire Breaks, Military Action Resumes
·Geopolitical
Scenario-0.08 Neutral$75,729
US-Iran Peace Deal Momentum & Ceasefire Stability: Stalemate: Negotiations Extend Beyond May 31
·Geopolitical
Scenario-0.12 Neutral$75,764
US-Iran Peace Deal Momentum & Ceasefire Stability: Breakthrough: Permanent Deal Announced by May 31
·Geopolitical
Scenario+0.11 Neutral$75,808
Daily BTC Outlook — May 26, 2026
·Daily BTC
Daily Outlook+0.19 Neutral$76,703
US-Iran Negotiations & Military Escalation Standoff: Ceasefire Holds but Permanent Deal Elusive (Stalemate)
·Geopolitical
Scenario+0.25 Bullish$76,670
US-Iran Negotiations & Military Escalation Standoff: Escalation & Military Conflict Expansion
·Geopolitical
Scenario+0.07 Neutral$76,597
US-Iran Negotiations & Military Escalation Standoff: De-escalation & Breakthrough Deal
·Geopolitical
Scenario+0.56 Bullish$76,683
Daily BTC Outlook — May 25, 2026
·Daily BTC
Daily Outlook+0.30 Bullish$77,220
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